Crisis escalation and misperceptions in international security

Crises often escalate because of some kind of misperception or miscalculation, whether of an adversary’s intentions, resolve, power, or something else. Drawing on at least one historical crisis and at least one contemporary crisis we covered in this course, explain why states are prone to these kinds of misperception during a crisis.

Historical crises include the 1914 July crisis, the Munich crisis 1938, the berlin blockade, the Cuban missile crisis, and the Kargil crisis. Refer to 2-3

Contemporary crises: The south china sea, the North Korean nuclear weapons program, and the Taiwan crisis.

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